1965: When Oil Finally Overtook Coal

We generally think of the Oil Age as having begun around the start of the 20th Century. Henry Ford began production of the Model T in 1908, and British coal production would peak soon thereafter in 1913. And yet, despite the fast global uptake of oil through the first half of the century–and both world wars–it was not until 1965 that oil use in BTU terms overtook coal.

The chart you see here divides total global oil use in million tons by total global coal use in mtoe (million tons oil equivalent). This gives us BTU equivalency. As late as 1954 for example, the world was consuming 1054 mtoe of coal, yet only 673 mt of oil. I use this 10 year period of course because it shows the moment when, after 150+ years of coal use, oil finally overtook coal. In 1965 the world consumed 1480.9 mtoe of coal–and 1530 mt of oil.

So, when exactly did the Coal Age end, and the Oil Age begin? Well, I’ve recently spent time with energy data on global Wood, Coal, and Oil use back as far as 1800 and there are a number of insights to be gleaned. With regard to how global energy use was structured up until this time, it was revealing for example to see that the Great Depression hit global coal consumption very hard. Oil? Not so much. And for an obvious reason: oil was still young in its adoption. On the larger matter of energy transition, there are other good insights in the data. For example, the acceleration you see in this 10 year chart, when paired with the longer series back to say, 1854, confirms the idea that changes such as these happen slowly at first–and then (seemingly) all at once.

-Gregor

chart: www.gregor.us | data source: bp statistical review and other sources.

  • wenqingliou

    It is a good chart to show how the change happened slowly at beginning and then sharply when a threshold was crossed.

  • BrianSJ

    Fascinating that British coal production peaked in 1913, given the war demands shortly after.
    Not directly relevant but the Model-T was originally intended as a bio-diesel car.

  • http://financialnewsexpress.blogspot.com/ Kalpa

    “With regard to how global energy use was structured up until this time, it was revealing for example to see that the Great Depression hit global coal consumption very hard. Oil? Not so much.”

    In this next depression, oil consumption may be hit harder than coal? What do you think? It will come down to cost and distribution.

    Very interesting post and subject. What would 1965-present look like? Or a prediction of the next 25 years? Pretty sure I saw a rural midwestern home's chimney releasing coal smoke recently. This economy may have people reverting back to burning coal (and wood) for heat sooner than most people expect.

  • http://www.viewsflow.com/ David Smith

    As Gregor says, oil was late in adoption. Coal on the other hand has been around for centuries, and still going strong despite its detractors. China will not give up coal, of which it has such vast reserves, and unfortunately those are of the soft brown sulfurous kind. In the US adherents talk about “clean coal”, which seems to me just marketing/PR. Can anyone tell me US clean coal is a different kind of coal, rather than just a whitewash happy face painted on the traditional coal?

    Global warming notwithstanding and assuming no vast emptying out of the US, Canada, Europe and China to the tropics, we are going to need things to burn for heat. What will we turn to in future? Sawmill, ag and textile waste?

    (tweeted to viewsflow.com)

  • http://www.viewsflow.com/ David Smith

    As Gregor says, oil was late in adoption. Coal on the other hand has been around for centuries, and still going strong despite its detractors. China will not give up coal, of which it has such vast reserves, and unfortunately those are of the soft brown sulfurous kind. In the US adherents talk about “clean coal”, which seems to me just marketing/PR. Can anyone tell me US clean coal is a different kind of coal, rather than just a whitewash happy face painted on the traditional coal?

    Global warming notwithstanding and assuming no vast emptying out of the US, Canada, Europe and China to the tropics, we are going to need things to burn for heat. What will we turn to in future? Sawmill, ag and textile waste?

    (tweeted to viewsflow.com)