The World Turns to Coal

The latest BP Statistical Review was published in London this morning, and following a theme presented for years at Gregor.us, global growth in coal consumption continues to soar. Now that global oil production is flat, and is no longer able to fund new industrial expansion, coal remains the cheap BTU and of course the preferred energy source of the Developing World (non-OECD). For another year, the world has turned to coal. | see: World Consumption of Coal in Mtoe (million tonnes oil equivalent) 2001-2010.

In presentations late last year, I had been forecasting a 6.90% rate of coal consumption growth globally for 2010. During that time I knew that non-OECD coal consumption was very strong—and likely well above 8.00%. I also knew that OECD coal use was a tad stronger than one might anticipate. What I did not foresee was that the 2010 rebound in OECD coal use was much stronger, at a 5.2% rate. Thus, combined with non-OECD’s huge 8.7% advance, total global coal consumption growth in 2010 comes in at a whopping 7.60%.

Among all fossil fuels, did Coal consumption grow the fastest in 2010? Yes, it did. I encourage everyone to read through both the Excel files and also the PDF release in today’s data publication. But briefly, here is a tweet today from BP America on that subject:

-Gregor

  • http://www.facebook.com/joel.heitin Joel Heitin

    So interesting to read this.  The CBC here in Canada was interviewing the head of the IEA at its meeting in Montreal.  The agency is calling for increased oil quotas from OPEC, but it all seems like empty posturing compared to actual figures such as these.

  • gregor.us

    Yes, my work shows that Asia had to turn to coal some years ago as oil wupply globally went flat.