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	<title>Comments on: Petrostate Tail Risk: The UK Joins My List</title>
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	<link>http://gregor.us/oil/petrostate-tail-risk-the-uk-joins-my-list/</link>
	<description>Energy and Economics</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Fri, 12 Mar 2010 01:59:59 -0500</lastBuildDate>
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		<title>By: gregor.us</title>
		<link>http://gregor.us/oil/petrostate-tail-risk-the-uk-joins-my-list/comment-page-1/#comment-3656</link>
		<dc:creator>gregor.us</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 18 Feb 2009 21:41:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://gregor.us/?p=704#comment-3656</guid>
		<description>Last time I ran my model, Mexico was at the top of the list of collapse risk. There&#039;s a witches brew of bad things now bearing down on Mexico.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;G</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Last time I ran my model, Mexico was at the top of the list of collapse risk. There&#39;s a witches brew of bad things now bearing down on Mexico.</p>
<p>G</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: gregor.us</title>
		<link>http://gregor.us/oil/petrostate-tail-risk-the-uk-joins-my-list/comment-page-1/#comment-492</link>
		<dc:creator>gregor.us</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 18 Feb 2009 17:41:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://gregor.us/?p=704#comment-492</guid>
		<description>Last time I ran my model, Mexico was at the top of the list of collapse risk. There&#039;s a witches brew of bad things now bearing down on Mexico.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;G</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Last time I ran my model, Mexico was at the top of the list of collapse risk. There&#39;s a witches brew of bad things now bearing down on Mexico.</p>
<p>G</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: gregor.us</title>
		<link>http://gregor.us/oil/petrostate-tail-risk-the-uk-joins-my-list/comment-page-1/#comment-2097</link>
		<dc:creator>gregor.us</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 18 Feb 2009 17:41:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://gregor.us/?p=704#comment-2097</guid>
		<description>Last time I ran my model, Mexico was at the top of the list of collapse risk. There&#039;s a witches brew of bad things now bearing down on Mexico.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;G</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Last time I ran my model, Mexico was at the top of the list of collapse risk. There&#39;s a witches brew of bad things now bearing down on Mexico.</p>
<p>G</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: gregor.us</title>
		<link>http://gregor.us/oil/petrostate-tail-risk-the-uk-joins-my-list/comment-page-1/#comment-2485</link>
		<dc:creator>gregor.us</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 18 Feb 2009 17:41:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://gregor.us/?p=704#comment-2485</guid>
		<description>Last time I ran my model, Mexico was at the top of the list of collapse risk. There&#039;s a witches brew of bad things now bearing down on Mexico.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;G</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Last time I ran my model, Mexico was at the top of the list of collapse risk. There&#39;s a witches brew of bad things now bearing down on Mexico.</p>
<p>G</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: MW</title>
		<link>http://gregor.us/oil/petrostate-tail-risk-the-uk-joins-my-list/comment-page-1/#comment-467</link>
		<dc:creator>MW</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 13 Feb 2009 10:25:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://gregor.us/?p=704#comment-467</guid>
		<description>I&#039;d be interested to read your views on Mexico.  They are en route to be a net importer in the next decade; my naive take on it is that Pemex is badly run and they aren&#039;t making the most of the fields they have (unlike, say, Brazil?).  As you may be aware, Stratfor is very negative on Mexico as a whole, though largely b/c it sees the country as a narco-state.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Regards, MW</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#39;d be interested to read your views on Mexico.  They are en route to be a net importer in the next decade; my naive take on it is that Pemex is badly run and they aren&#39;t making the most of the fields they have (unlike, say, Brazil?).  As you may be aware, Stratfor is very negative on Mexico as a whole, though largely b/c it sees the country as a narco-state.</p>
<p>Regards, MW</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: MW</title>
		<link>http://gregor.us/oil/petrostate-tail-risk-the-uk-joins-my-list/comment-page-1/#comment-2096</link>
		<dc:creator>MW</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 13 Feb 2009 10:25:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://gregor.us/?p=704#comment-2096</guid>
		<description>I&#039;d be interested to read your views on Mexico.  They are en route to be a net importer in the next decade; my naive take on it is that Pemex is badly run and they aren&#039;t making the most of the fields they have (unlike, say, Brazil?).  As you may be aware, Stratfor is very negative on Mexico as a whole, though largely b/c it sees the country as a narco-state.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Regards, MW</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#39;d be interested to read your views on Mexico.  They are en route to be a net importer in the next decade; my naive take on it is that Pemex is badly run and they aren&#39;t making the most of the fields they have (unlike, say, Brazil?).  As you may be aware, Stratfor is very negative on Mexico as a whole, though largely b/c it sees the country as a narco-state.</p>
<p>Regards, MW</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: MW</title>
		<link>http://gregor.us/oil/petrostate-tail-risk-the-uk-joins-my-list/comment-page-1/#comment-2484</link>
		<dc:creator>MW</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 13 Feb 2009 10:25:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://gregor.us/?p=704#comment-2484</guid>
		<description>I&#039;d be interested to read your views on Mexico.  They are en route to be a net importer in the next decade; my naive take on it is that Pemex is badly run and they aren&#039;t making the most of the fields they have (unlike, say, Brazil?).  As you may be aware, Stratfor is very negative on Mexico as a whole, though largely b/c it sees the country as a narco-state.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Regards, MW</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#39;d be interested to read your views on Mexico.  They are en route to be a net importer in the next decade; my naive take on it is that Pemex is badly run and they aren&#39;t making the most of the fields they have (unlike, say, Brazil?).  As you may be aware, Stratfor is very negative on Mexico as a whole, though largely b/c it sees the country as a narco-state.</p>
<p>Regards, MW</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Bob Inget</title>
		<link>http://gregor.us/oil/petrostate-tail-risk-the-uk-joins-my-list/comment-page-1/#comment-466</link>
		<dc:creator>Bob Inget</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 12 Feb 2009 15:32:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://gregor.us/?p=704#comment-466</guid>
		<description>Will Events in the Mid East, Change  Perspective?&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;What began as a world financial crisis is quickly escalating into one of survival. In &#039;Petrostates&#039; like Mexico or Nigeria, corruption has reached levels only a few years ago, thought unacceptable. Diverse nations like the Ukraine or Afghanistan,  certainly not  petrostates, are vital for transport of petroleum.&lt;br&gt;These nations, like Russia, Iraq, have become totally corrupt and, unmanageable.&lt;br&gt;(the analogy between heroin and oil is a perfect one, the difference being, a new crop of poppies come  yearly)&lt;br&gt;This winter, the UK may yet come close to using ALL their storage gas. A national emergency like that, might move GB towards serious alternatives. (wind/tidal/nuclear) This sort rational decision won&#039;t be made in Mexico till it is way too late. In Nigeria there are lots of plans afoot to export gas now being flared. Almost none to use the gas locally, providing jobs in the manufacturing sector. Once again, as in Afghanistan, corruption hinders  non violent movements. Mexico says they will limit exports by 2011, which proves they have no plans to utilize their quickly diminished oil reserves to create jobs internally, this year. &lt;br&gt;.&lt;br&gt;The worst situations we now face, IMO, is nuclear confrontation between nation states. Israel remains paranoid about Iran getting nuclear parity. There seems little doubt, post elections, Israel will attempt  &#039;limited&#039; air-strikes on Iran&#039;s nuclear and missile sites. Having come off almost unharmed after raids on Syria, Lebanon and Gaza, they may feel the &#039;risk&#039; is worth taking.&lt;br&gt; It was always too late, IMO. If far right forces in Israel manage a majority, the only uncertainty will be timing. Iran is not divided a Lebanon or Gaza. When backed into a corner Israel will use its N weapons &quot;to survive&quot; . &lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;The question then remains: Will, the US, like the UK, make rational energy decisions when our wish of &quot;no more Mid East oil&quot; is granted--- for all time?&lt;br&gt;Bob Inget</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Will Events in the Mid East, Change  Perspective?</p>
<p>What began as a world financial crisis is quickly escalating into one of survival. In &#39;Petrostates&#39; like Mexico or Nigeria, corruption has reached levels only a few years ago, thought unacceptable. Diverse nations like the Ukraine or Afghanistan,  certainly not  petrostates, are vital for transport of petroleum.<br />These nations, like Russia, Iraq, have become totally corrupt and, unmanageable.<br />(the analogy between heroin and oil is a perfect one, the difference being, a new crop of poppies come  yearly)<br />This winter, the UK may yet come close to using ALL their storage gas. A national emergency like that, might move GB towards serious alternatives. (wind/tidal/nuclear) This sort rational decision won&#39;t be made in Mexico till it is way too late. In Nigeria there are lots of plans afoot to export gas now being flared. Almost none to use the gas locally, providing jobs in the manufacturing sector. Once again, as in Afghanistan, corruption hinders  non violent movements. Mexico says they will limit exports by 2011, which proves they have no plans to utilize their quickly diminished oil reserves to create jobs internally, this year. <br />.<br />The worst situations we now face, IMO, is nuclear confrontation between nation states. Israel remains paranoid about Iran getting nuclear parity. There seems little doubt, post elections, Israel will attempt  &#39;limited&#39; air-strikes on Iran&#39;s nuclear and missile sites. Having come off almost unharmed after raids on Syria, Lebanon and Gaza, they may feel the &#39;risk&#39; is worth taking.<br /> It was always too late, IMO. If far right forces in Israel manage a majority, the only uncertainty will be timing. Iran is not divided a Lebanon or Gaza. When backed into a corner Israel will use its N weapons &#8220;to survive&#8221; . </p>
<p>The question then remains: Will, the US, like the UK, make rational energy decisions when our wish of &#8220;no more Mid East oil&#8221; is granted&#8212; for all time?<br />Bob Inget</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Bob Inget</title>
		<link>http://gregor.us/oil/petrostate-tail-risk-the-uk-joins-my-list/comment-page-1/#comment-2095</link>
		<dc:creator>Bob Inget</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 12 Feb 2009 15:32:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://gregor.us/?p=704#comment-2095</guid>
		<description>Will Events in the Mid East, Change  Perspective?&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;What began as a world financial crisis is quickly escalating into one of survival. In &#039;Petrostates&#039; like Mexico or Nigeria, corruption has reached levels only a few years ago, thought unacceptable. Diverse nations like the Ukraine or Afghanistan,  certainly not  petrostates, are vital for transport of petroleum.&lt;br&gt;These nations, like Russia, Iraq, have become totally corrupt and, unmanageable.&lt;br&gt;(the analogy between heroin and oil is a perfect one, the difference being, a new crop of poppies come  yearly)&lt;br&gt;This winter, the UK may yet come close to using ALL their storage gas. A national emergency like that, might move GB towards serious alternatives. (wind/tidal/nuclear) This sort rational decision won&#039;t be made in Mexico till it is way too late. In Nigeria there are lots of plans afoot to export gas now being flared. Almost none to use the gas locally, providing jobs in the manufacturing sector. Once again, as in Afghanistan, corruption hinders  non violent movements. Mexico says they will limit exports by 2011, which proves they have no plans to utilize their quickly diminished oil reserves to create jobs internally, this year. &lt;br&gt;.&lt;br&gt;The worst situations we now face, IMO, is nuclear confrontation between nation states. Israel remains paranoid about Iran getting nuclear parity. There seems little doubt, post elections, Israel will attempt  &#039;limited&#039; air-strikes on Iran&#039;s nuclear and missile sites. Having come off almost unharmed after raids on Syria, Lebanon and Gaza, they may feel the &#039;risk&#039; is worth taking.&lt;br&gt; It was always too late, IMO. If far right forces in Israel manage a majority, the only uncertainty will be timing. Iran is not divided a Lebanon or Gaza. When backed into a corner Israel will use its N weapons &quot;to survive&quot; . &lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;The question then remains: Will, the US, like the UK, make rational energy decisions when our wish of &quot;no more Mid East oil&quot; is granted--- for all time?&lt;br&gt;Bob Inget</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Will Events in the Mid East, Change  Perspective?</p>
<p>What began as a world financial crisis is quickly escalating into one of survival. In &#39;Petrostates&#39; like Mexico or Nigeria, corruption has reached levels only a few years ago, thought unacceptable. Diverse nations like the Ukraine or Afghanistan,  certainly not  petrostates, are vital for transport of petroleum.<br />These nations, like Russia, Iraq, have become totally corrupt and, unmanageable.<br />(the analogy between heroin and oil is a perfect one, the difference being, a new crop of poppies come  yearly)<br />This winter, the UK may yet come close to using ALL their storage gas. A national emergency like that, might move GB towards serious alternatives. (wind/tidal/nuclear) This sort rational decision won&#39;t be made in Mexico till it is way too late. In Nigeria there are lots of plans afoot to export gas now being flared. Almost none to use the gas locally, providing jobs in the manufacturing sector. Once again, as in Afghanistan, corruption hinders  non violent movements. Mexico says they will limit exports by 2011, which proves they have no plans to utilize their quickly diminished oil reserves to create jobs internally, this year. <br />.<br />The worst situations we now face, IMO, is nuclear confrontation between nation states. Israel remains paranoid about Iran getting nuclear parity. There seems little doubt, post elections, Israel will attempt  &#39;limited&#39; air-strikes on Iran&#39;s nuclear and missile sites. Having come off almost unharmed after raids on Syria, Lebanon and Gaza, they may feel the &#39;risk&#39; is worth taking.<br /> It was always too late, IMO. If far right forces in Israel manage a majority, the only uncertainty will be timing. Iran is not divided a Lebanon or Gaza. When backed into a corner Israel will use its N weapons &#8220;to survive&#8221; . </p>
<p>The question then remains: Will, the US, like the UK, make rational energy decisions when our wish of &#8220;no more Mid East oil&#8221; is granted&#8212; for all time?<br />Bob Inget</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Bob Inget</title>
		<link>http://gregor.us/oil/petrostate-tail-risk-the-uk-joins-my-list/comment-page-1/#comment-2483</link>
		<dc:creator>Bob Inget</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 12 Feb 2009 15:32:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://gregor.us/?p=704#comment-2483</guid>
		<description>Will Events in the Mid East, Change  Perspective?&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;What began as a world financial crisis is quickly escalating into one of survival. In &#039;Petrostates&#039; like Mexico or Nigeria, corruption has reached levels only a few years ago, thought unacceptable. Diverse nations like the Ukraine or Afghanistan,  certainly not  petrostates, are vital for transport of petroleum.&lt;br&gt;These nations, like Russia, Iraq, have become totally corrupt and, unmanageable.&lt;br&gt;(the analogy between heroin and oil is a perfect one, the difference being, a new crop of poppies come  yearly)&lt;br&gt;This winter, the UK may yet come close to using ALL their storage gas. A national emergency like that, might move GB towards serious alternatives. (wind/tidal/nuclear) This sort rational decision won&#039;t be made in Mexico till it is way too late. In Nigeria there are lots of plans afoot to export gas now being flared. Almost none to use the gas locally, providing jobs in the manufacturing sector. Once again, as in Afghanistan, corruption hinders  non violent movements. Mexico says they will limit exports by 2011, which proves they have no plans to utilize their quickly diminished oil reserves to create jobs internally, this year. &lt;br&gt;.&lt;br&gt;The worst situations we now face, IMO, is nuclear confrontation between nation states. Israel remains paranoid about Iran getting nuclear parity. There seems little doubt, post elections, Israel will attempt  &#039;limited&#039; air-strikes on Iran&#039;s nuclear and missile sites. Having come off almost unharmed after raids on Syria, Lebanon and Gaza, they may feel the &#039;risk&#039; is worth taking.&lt;br&gt; It was always too late, IMO. If far right forces in Israel manage a majority, the only uncertainty will be timing. Iran is not divided a Lebanon or Gaza. When backed into a corner Israel will use its N weapons &quot;to survive&quot; . &lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;The question then remains: Will, the US, like the UK, make rational energy decisions when our wish of &quot;no more Mid East oil&quot; is granted--- for all time?&lt;br&gt;Bob Inget</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Will Events in the Mid East, Change  Perspective?</p>
<p>What began as a world financial crisis is quickly escalating into one of survival. In &#39;Petrostates&#39; like Mexico or Nigeria, corruption has reached levels only a few years ago, thought unacceptable. Diverse nations like the Ukraine or Afghanistan,  certainly not  petrostates, are vital for transport of petroleum.<br />These nations, like Russia, Iraq, have become totally corrupt and, unmanageable.<br />(the analogy between heroin and oil is a perfect one, the difference being, a new crop of poppies come  yearly)<br />This winter, the UK may yet come close to using ALL their storage gas. A national emergency like that, might move GB towards serious alternatives. (wind/tidal/nuclear) This sort rational decision won&#39;t be made in Mexico till it is way too late. In Nigeria there are lots of plans afoot to export gas now being flared. Almost none to use the gas locally, providing jobs in the manufacturing sector. Once again, as in Afghanistan, corruption hinders  non violent movements. Mexico says they will limit exports by 2011, which proves they have no plans to utilize their quickly diminished oil reserves to create jobs internally, this year. <br />.<br />The worst situations we now face, IMO, is nuclear confrontation between nation states. Israel remains paranoid about Iran getting nuclear parity. There seems little doubt, post elections, Israel will attempt  &#39;limited&#39; air-strikes on Iran&#39;s nuclear and missile sites. Having come off almost unharmed after raids on Syria, Lebanon and Gaza, they may feel the &#39;risk&#39; is worth taking.<br /> It was always too late, IMO. If far right forces in Israel manage a majority, the only uncertainty will be timing. Iran is not divided a Lebanon or Gaza. When backed into a corner Israel will use its N weapons &#8220;to survive&#8221; . </p>
<p>The question then remains: Will, the US, like the UK, make rational energy decisions when our wish of &#8220;no more Mid East oil&#8221; is granted&#8212; for all time?<br />Bob Inget</p>
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