UK Update: Credit and Oil

Word comes today that the UK Offshore Oil and Exploration sector is at risk of collapse. Dow Jones Newswires has the coverage.

Investment and exploration in the U.K. North Sea oil and gas basin could collapse this year because of high costs and a funding drought, said the head of the country’s oil and gas industry lobby Thursday. Investment could have halved within two years and exploration and appraisal of new reserves in 2009 could fall to a third of the 2008 level, Oil and Gas U.K. Chief Executive Malcolm Webb told a special session of the U.K. parliament’s Energy and Climate Change Committee in Aberdeen, Scotland. “Since 2004, costs have doubled and the rate of tax charged on new developments has risen to 50%,” Webb said. “With sources of credit drying up, the amount of capital available has drastically reduced and the falling competitiveness of U.K. projects means investment could halve in the next two years.”

north-sea-oil-platform-supply-ship

This is not a surprise. Behind the curtain of the global financial crisis, supply-growth of resources from copper to natural gas to oil has been crashing for nine months. Collapsing prices, shortage of credit, and the ensuing behavioral posture towards the future have all combined to produce this outcome. What’s worse, is these conditions will obtain right into the face of any price rise because only a sustained period, of at least a year, will induce free-market producers to make the necessary investments to increase production. Accordingly, until then, the world will simply run down inventories.

-Gregor

Further Listening:

When the World is Running Down –The Police.

Reality Report: Natural Gas Cliff and Credit Situation – Nate Hagens

Further Reading:

Impact of Credit Crisis on the Energy Industry – Where Are We Now? – The Oil Drum

Rock, Scissors, Paper: Recession vs. Collapse – gregor.us

Collapse of US drilling activity. – Baker Hughes Rig Counts

  • llboyd

    wow. why is my country (US) not buying obscene amounts of oil? how can we be so shortsighted? i guess I'll have to do it myself. thx for this Gregor

  • gregor.us

    Back below 40.00, I wrote a post suggesting that States and Countries who had announced large infrastructure programs as part of StimPacks should hedge their oil.

    States Should Hedge Their Oil

    G

  • http://www.jimsparrow.com Jim Sparrow

    Indeed. Can you say OILEXCO?

  • CalgaryRealtor

    Indeed. Can you say OILEXCO?

  • CalgaryRealtor

    Indeed. Can you say OILEXCO?